Syllabus For Applied Statistical Analysis in Finance (Estadistica)


Rauli Susmel (rsusmel@bayou.uh.edu)
Department of Finance
College of Business Administration
University of Houston

Textbooks:
Required: Statistics for Business and Economics (SBE), by Paul Newbold, 1988. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey 07632.
Complementary: The Econometrics of Financial Markets, by John Y. Campbell, Andrew W. Lo, and A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. Princenton University Press, Princenton, New Jersey.

Course outline (Chapters SBE):
1. Introduction, Probability, Random Variables, and Probability Distributions (discrete and continuous). (Chapters 2-5.)
2. Sampling Distributions. (Chapter 6.)
3. Point, Interval Estimation, Hypothesis Testing, and the Estimation Errors in Financial Series. (Chapters 7-9.)
4. Linear Regression and the Estimation of Asset Pricing Models. (Chapters 12-13.)
5. Non-linearities, Heteroscedasticity, and Hegding. (Chapter 14.)
6. Time Series, ARIMA Models, Forecasting, and the Predictability of Asset Returns. (Chapter 17.)
7. Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Forecasting of Volatility.

Exams and Grading:
Final grades will be determined as a weighted average of scores on the midterms, a paper, a presentation and class participation, with the following weights:
Midterms 50% - 23/07 and 17/08 (all exams are open book)
Paper 20% - Due date: 10/08
Homework 20% - Every class
Class Participation 10% -

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